Richard (Dick) Waring



My early research involved quantifying the environmental distribution of the flora in the species-rich forests of southwestern Oregon. From that my graduate students and I went on to create some of the first process-based predictive models of forest growth and water use. As part of the International Biological Program in the 1970s, I was involved in constructing more complicated ecosystem models, which proved too difficult to apply. In the early 1980s, outbreaks of bark beetles and spruce budworm provided a chance  to conduct field experiments that helped us better understand  the role of insects  in forests and how we might better manage them. Later in the decade, I became interested in doing climate change research sponsored by the National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA) Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting. We started to design models that took advantage of information acquired from earth-orbiting satellites to predict productivity, biodiversity, and the susceptibility of forests to natural agents of disturbance.

Selected publications

Waring, R.H.  1982.  Land of the giant conifers.  Natural History 91:54-63.pdf  

Ryan, M.G., Oren, R., Waring, R.H. 2018. Fruiting and sink competition. Tree Physiology 38:1261-1266. pdf

Mathys, A.S., Coops, N.C., Simard, S.W., Waring, R.H., Aitken, S.N. 2018. Diverging distribution of seedlings and mature trees reflects recent climate change in British Columbia. Ecological Modelling 384:145-153.pdf

Boyle, J.R., Tappeiner, J.C., Waring, R.H., Tattersall Smith, C. 2016. Sustainable Forestry: Ecology and Silviculture for Resilient Forests. Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences, Elsevier, doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-409548-9.09761-x.pdf

Mathys, A.S., Coops, N.C., Waring, R.H. 2016. An ecoregion assessment of projected tree species vulnerabilities in western North America. Global Change Biology,doi: 10.1111/gcb.13440.pdf.

Landsberg, J., Waring, R. 2017. Water relations in tree physiology: where to from here? Tree Physiol. 37:18-32.pdf

 Waring, R.H., Coops, N.C. 2016. Predicting large wildfires across western North America by modeling seasonal variation in soil water balance. Climatic Change 135:325–339. pdf

 Waring, R.H., Gao, L. 2016. Recent reduction in the frequency of frost accounts for most of the increased growth of a high elevation spruce forest in northwestern China. Trees-Structure and Function 30: 1225-1236. pdf

Coops, N.C.,  Waring, R.H., Plowright, A.,  Lee, J., Dilts, T.E. 2016. Using remotely-sensed land cover and distribution modeling to estimate tree species migration in the Pacific Northwest Region of North America. Remote Sensing :8, 65; doi:10.3390/rs8010065.pdf

Law, B.E., and Waring, R.H. 2015. Carbon implications of current and future effects of drought, fire, and management on the Pacific Northwest forests. Forest Ecology & Management 355: 4-14. pdf

 Peterman, W.L., and Waring, R.H. 2014. Overshoot in leaf development of ponderosa pine in wet years leads to bark beetle outbreaks on fine-textured soils in drier years. Forest Ecosystems (on line) .pdf

 Waring, R.H., Coops, N.C., Mathys, A., Hilker, T. and Latta, G. 2014. Process-based modeling to assess the effects of recent climatic variation on site productivity and forest function across western North America. Forests5:518-534.pdf